On March 11, the World Health Organization officially classified the COVID-19 outbreak as a pandemic, indicating that every location is likely to be affected, though the exact timing and impact cannot be predicted. Non-essential international and domestic travel should be deferred due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the global logistical environment, healthcare systems in all locations, the global economy, the potential for second-order security issues in the short, medium and longer term, as well as the risk of infection with COVID-19. A new virus, SARS-CoV-2, is the cause of COVID-19 disease. The WHO is still learning about the virus and the illness it causes. The disease is spreading from person to person, through contact with infected respiratory droplets. The disease is a mild illness for most; however, it can be severe or fatal to high risk groups.
For more information on confirmed cases of COVID-19 globally, refer to the latest Situation Report on the World Health Organization (WHO) website by clicking here. For more general information on the outbreak and WHO’s response, click here.
TRAVEL RESTRICTIONS IMPLEMENTED WORLDWIDE
A number of countries have relaxed some restrictions that aimed to contain the spread of COVID-19. This includes the relaxation of restrictions on internal movement, reopening of businesses and a resumption of some domestic and international travel. Nevertheless, strict measures remain in place, or are being reimposed, in some locations where there is increasing case activity. In some locations all travel should continue to be deferred, while for others essential travel can resume after undertaking an individual risk assessment of the COVID-19 situation and entry restrictions, including the potential for sudden changes.
Countries around the world are implementing entry restrictions in an effort to contain the spread of COVID-19. For the most upto-date information on current entry restrictions, please visit IATA’s “Government Measures Related to Coronavirus (COVID19)” website by clicking here.
FROSCH TRAVEL RESOURCES
AMERICAS
UNITED STATES
Several states are reporting cases of the new B.1.1.7 variant, while a surge in cases continues. Many locations with extremely limited acute care bed availability, and hospitals are either near or at capacity. Restrictions on movement and gatherings are in place in some areas. Health authorities have implemented protocols for isolation, quarantine, testing and managing people who have COVID-19 and their contacts. Follow all directives. To prevent infection, limit face-to-face interactions with other people as much as possible, pay attention to hygiene, wash hands frequently, avoid touching your face. Wear a mask whenever required to and consider wearing a mask whenever in public. Do not travel if you are sick.
EXECUTIVE ORDER ON PROMOTING COVID-19 SAFETY IN DOMESTIC & INT’L TRAVEL
On January 21, President Joe Biden issued an “Executive Order on Promoting COVID-19 Safety in Domestic and International Travel.” The order directs relevant federal agencies to work toward the following:
- implement a mask mandate for all forms of transportation
- keep in place (but consider changes to) the CDC’s international inbound testing order going into effect on Tuesday, January 26
- assess a quarantine system for inbound travelers
- coordinate with international bodies to set standards on travel restrictions, proof of vaccine, etc.
At this time, the component regarding a quarantine system for inbound travelers is not in effect.
NEW CDC COVID-19 TEST REQUIREMENTS FOR INTERNATIONAL AIR PASSENGERS ENTERING OR TRANSITING THE US
On January 12, the CDC announced all passengers entering the United States will be required to present a negative COVID-19 test (NAAT or antigen) taken within 72 hours of departure, effective January 26. As of right now, the new regulation will apply to all air passengers arriving in the United States, regardless of citizenship or residence; travelers transiting the US on a connecting flight will also be subject to the requirement.
The CDC has indicated negative results from either a molecular PCR test or the less reliable rapid antigen tests will be accepted. The test result must be in the form of written documentation (paper or electronic copy) of a laboratory test and must include information that identifies the person, a specimen collection date and the type of test administered, as well as verification information, such as the name and contact information for the laboratory that performed the test. As an alternative, passengers may present documentation proving they have previously contracted and recovered from COVID-19. Travelers who have received the COVID-19 vaccine will still be required to provide a negative COVID-19 test result or documentation of recovery.
The requirement will apply to all passenger flights, including private aviation. It will be the responsibility of the airline to confirm a COVID-19 negative test result or documentation of recovery for all passengers before boarding, and to deny boarding if such is not presented. Passengers must also fill out a CDC attestation form.
For answers to frequently asked questions regarding the new requirements, click HERE to visit the CDC’s website.
ANTI-WAR PROTESTS
On January 25, travelers should plan journeys bypassing anti-war demonstrations in New York City and San Francisco. In New York City, participants will gather at 11:00 AM local time at US Representative Gregory Meeks’s office in Queens. In San Francisco, participating motorists will meet at 12:00 PM local time at 444 Spear Street before proceeding in a convoy along an unspecified route. The demonstrations are being held to denounce the US’s involvement in the ongoing Yemeni civil war. While the events are expected to pass off peacefully, they may result in local traffic disruption.
GUATEMALA, MEXICO
Travelers are advised to reconfirm the status of all Guatemala-Mexico land border-crossing routes in the coming weeks due to potential disruption related to the passage of a migrant caravan. A migrant caravan recently departed
US LAND BORDERS WITH CANADA & MEXICO
Authorities have extended the closure of the US-Canada border to non-essential travel through February 21 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Cross-border freight movement is still permitted. All travel to Canada should be deferred, unless coming directly from the US for essential purposes or otherwise exempted from COVID-19-related restrictions. Non-essential travel to the US, where COVID-19 restrictions remain in effect, should also be deferred. The US and Mexican governments have extended the closure of their mutual land border to non-essential travel through February 21 amid the COVID-19 pandemic; however, essential travel, including for medical purposes and freight transportation, is still permitted. Non-essential travel to both countries should be deferred.
COSTA RICA
On January 26, travelers in San Jose should avoid a march by police officers to minimize disruption and exposure to potential unrest. Police officers affiliated with the National Association of Public and Private Sector Employees will march at 9:00 AM local time from the ANEP Headquarters to the Legislative Assembly. The event is being organized to demand legislative reforms to improve labor conditions for police officers. Travelers should reconfirm routes before setting out due to the possibility of local traffic disruption.
HAITI
Travelers are advised to continue to defer all travel to Haiti, where a protracted political crisis persists. Those in the country should minimize non-essential movement and stand fast in a secure location on days when major protests are scheduled. The Provisional Electoral Council (CEP) has said that a Constitutional Referendum and a General Election will respectively be held on April 25 and September 19. Opposition groups, which have long been demanding President Jovenel Moise’s departure, have responded by calling for fresh protests, including nationwide demonstrations on February 1. Associated disturbances are likely countrywide.
AFRICA & THE MIDDLE EAST
TROPICAL STORM ELOISE
Travelers should plan journeys accounting for disruption caused by the passage of Tropical Storm Eloise over the coming days. Eloise is forecast to strengthen as it approaches the south-central Mozambique, then weaken into a tropical cyclone as it moves southwest toward northeastern South Africa. It is also forecast to impact southern Zimbabwe and eastern Botswana on January 25-26. Weather agencies in multiple countries have issued warnings for heavy rainfall and flash flooding. Flight operations, road transport, electricity, and telecommunications services are liable be affected. Travelers should closely monitor local weather forecasts and ensure access to essential supplies, including backup power and communication tools.
AFGHANISTAN
Frequent insurgent attacks in recent weeks highlight the persistent risk of militancy in Afghanistan. At least two Afghan National Army soldiers were reportedly killed on January 21 in an unspecified security incident in Kabul’s Police District 5 (PD5). Separately, on the same day, at least three people, including one civilian, were killed in a roadside bombing in PD6. This follows reported explosions that occurred earlier on January 18 and 19 in PD4 and PD6, respectively. These and other recent incidents highlight Afghanistan’s extreme travel risks.
BURKINA FASO
Several cases of polio have been reported in multiple locations. Polio is a contagious viral illness that can cause paralysis and death. It is spread through contaminated food or water, or directly from an infected person. The circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus (cVDPV) strains can emerge in under-vaccinated populations. Travelers should prevent infection by ensuring polio vaccination is up to date, including a booster, and selecting safe food and water.
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC
Travelers should exercise caution in the coming weeks after the release of the final results on January 18 of the December 2020 General Election. While President Faustin-Archange Touadera was declared the winner with around 53% of the vote, opposition groups have rejected the outcome. Protests over potential shortages of essential supplies due to ongoing militia violence, as well as perceived electoral irregularities, remain possible. Further attacks attributed to the newly formed Coalition of Patriots for Change group (CPC) also remain likely. A curfew from 6:00 PM to 5:00 AM local time has been imposed, and a nationwide State of Emergency has been declared until February 4.
CHAD
Cases of circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 (cVDPV2) have been detected in several regions of the country. Polio is a contagious viral illness that can cause paralysis and death. It is spread through contaminated food or water, or directly from an infected person. The circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus (cVDPV) strains can emerge in under-vaccinated populations. Travelers should prevent infection by ensuring polio vaccination is up to date, including a booster, and selecting safe food and water.
CONGO (DRC)
On January 25, travelers should avoid the vicinity of the central market in Kinshasa due to an ongoing protest. Demonstrators set fire to tires and stalls and blockaded nearby Commerce Avenue following an announcement by the Governor that the market would be closed for repairs. Police are on-scene and are attempting to disperse the protest.
EGYPT
On January 25, travelers should anticipate heightened security measures and associated disruption on the anniversary of the 2011 popular uprising. Former President Hosni Mubarak was removed from power as a result of the revolution. Authorities have renewed a State of Emergency, effective as of January 24. Additional security force personnel can be expected near key installations, major routes, and protest flashpoints. Security forces are likely to arrest participants and disperse unauthorized gatherings, posing incidental risks to bystanders.
ETHIOPIA
Although the overall situation in Tigray state has remained largely calm, pockets of fighting continue and are likely to persist in the coming months. Operations by the federal forces against the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) are ongoing. Violence and looting are also being reported in many parts of the region. Essential travel to Ethiopia can proceed, though travelers should continue to monitor developments related to the ongoing conflict between the federal government and authorities in Tigray state. All domestic travel to Tigray state should be deferred, while essential travel to other states is possible in close consultation with local contacts.
GUINEA
Cases of circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 (cVDPV2) have been detected in several regions. Polio is a contagious viral illness that can cause paralysis and death. It is spread through contaminated food or water, or directly from an infected person. The circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus (cVDPV) strains can emerge in undervaccinated populations. Travelers should prevent infection by ensuring polio vaccination is up to date, including a booster, and selecting safe food and water.
IRAQ
Travelers are reminded of the need to exercise caution and minimize time spent in the vicinity of US military and diplomatic interests. This comes amid fresh attacks against logistical convoys supporting US-led coalition troops. Most recently on January 20, a logistical convoy was targeted in a roadside bombing in the Yusufiya district, though no casualties were reported. Such attacks have become a regular occurrence in recent months. Travelers should liaise with their dedicated security provider to ascertain the feasibility of essential movement and ensure access to the latest locally-sourced threat intelligence.
ISRAEL
Travel to Israel should be deferred after the government approved a suspension of all passenger flights both in and out of the country beginning at 12:00 AM local time on January 26. This unprecedented measure is being implemented in response to recent developments involving COVID-19. It is expected to remain in place through January 31 and will include the closure of Ben Gurion Airport (TLV). Only essential flights, such as those for freight and humanitarian purposes, may be permitted to operate during this period with special permission.
From January 12 through February 3, rail travelers should anticipate disruption and reconfirm schedules during planned maintenance work. This will involve the closure of all train stations south of Tel Aviv Ha’Hagana Station, including Jerusalem Station. Tel Aviv Ha’Hagana Station itself will not be affected. Additional bus services will be provided during this period.
LEBANON
Travelers in Beirut over the coming weeks should anticipate further disruptive protests by taxi drivers against current COVID-19-related restrictions. On January 20, demonstrating drivers blocked the road to Rafic Hariri International Airport (BEY) with their vehicles, saying lockdown measures have negatively affected their livelihoods. At least three people were injured during resultant confrontations with the security forces. According to the latest government directive, only hotel cars and buses are permitted to transport travelers from the airport.
Travelers should abide by official directives amid tighter COVID-19-related restrictions. The current nationwide lockdown has been extended until at least February 8 and is accompanied by a 24-hour curfew. Heightened security can be expected in major urban centers, as the military has been deployed to ensure the enforcement of restrictions.
On January 25, travelers in Sidon and Tripoli should plan routes bypassing ongoing and disruptive protests, as a precaution. Demonstrators in Sidon have gathered by the Elia Intersection. In Tripoli, roads leading to Abdul Hamid Karami Street, the Bab al-Tabbaneh Roundabout and al-Nour Square are reportedly blocked by protesters. A heightened security force presence can be expected in these areas.
MOZAMBIQUE
On January 25, travelers should anticipate residual disruption following the passage of former Tropical Storm Eloise. The storm made landfall early on January 23 near Beira before moving southwest over central Mozambique and across the Zimbabwe border. At least nine people were reportedly killed in weather-related incidents in Beira. The National Meteorology Institute (INAM) has issued an alert for further heavy rain, thunderstorms and strong winds forecast for most of the country, including Maputo Province, through January 25. Such conditions may exacerbate flooding, as well as associated disruption to overland travel and essential services, in already affected areas.
NIGER
Travelers in Niger should continue to avoid gatherings linked to the second round of the Presidential Election, scheduled for February 21, as a precaution. In the first round, ruling Nigerien Party for Democracy and Socialism (PNDS) candidate Mohamed Bazoum secured 39% of the vote, with former President Mahamane Ousmane (in office 1993-96), of the opposition Democratic and Republican Renewal party, receiving 17%. The provisional results have yet to be confirmed, but a run-off vote will take place as no candidate reached 50%. Although the December 27, 2020 General Election passed off peacefully, travelers should continue to exercise caution amid the heightened threat of militant attacks.
NIGERIA
From January 13-27, travelers in Lagos should expect significant disruption during the maintenance of the Third Mainland Bridge and plan journeys accordingly. Authorities will close the bridge for Lagos Island-bound traffic, including the Adekunle-bound slip road. On January 11, authorities also announced the indefinite closure of the Airport Bridge at Toyota bus stop on the Oshodi-Isolo Expressway following a fuel tanker explosion and large fire that damaged the bridge on January 7.
On January 25, travelers in Orlu should avoid the vicinity of Bank Road and the Timber Market following reports of gunfire. Early reports indicate that troops have engaged suspected armed robbers.
On January 25, travelers should avoid protests and plan journeys accounting for disruption in the vicinity of the Kaduna High Court in Kaduna. Sources report that Ibrahim Taiwo Road, among others leading to the High Court, may be blocked during the day in anticipation of potential protests in support of the Shia Muslim Islamic Movement in Nigeria (IMN) leader, Ibrahim el-Zakzaky, and his wife. Heightened security should be anticipated as protests by the IMN are banned following a court ruling in 2019. Travelers are advised to plan routes bypassing the vicinity.
OMAN
Authorities have prolonged the closure of the country’s land borders through 6:00 PM local time on February 1. This measure is subject to further extension, depending on the epidemiological situation. International flights remain operational with COVID-19 polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing requirements.
SOUTH AFRICA
Travelers in South Africa in the coming weeks should anticipate disruption linked to rotating scheduled power outages, locally known as “load shedding.” State-owned electricity provider Eskom has said that the latest round of load shedding, which began on January 14, is likely to continue until April, amid an unexpected loss of powergeneration capacity. Temporary disruption to cellular and mobile services is possible during periods of load shedding. Criminals are also liable to take advantage of power outages to carry out crime, such as vehicle and residential robberies and muggings. Extended periods of power cuts may also spur protests.
SUDAN
Cases of circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 (cVDPV2) have been detected across the country, the first cases reported since 2009. Additionally, poliovirus has been found in environmental samples in several states. Polio is a contagious viral illness that can cause paralysis and death. It is spread through contaminated food or water, or directly from an infected person. The circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus (cVDPV) strains can emerge in undervaccinated populations. Travelers should prevent infection by ensuring polio vaccination is up to date, including a booster, and selecting safe food and water.
Through January 29, travelers in urban centers should anticipate and avoid further anti-government protests. Recent gatherings in Khartoum and Omdurman have occurred against the latest fuel price hike. Demonstrations have also been held in Blue Nile, River Nile and South Kordofan states over bread and medicine price increases, and shortages of certain goods. Demonstrations may be forcibly dispersed, posing incidental risks to bystanders.
TUNISIA
Through January 29, travelers should continue to anticipate nationwide protests over socio-economic grievances. Civil society groups have called for a demonstration on January 26 in the Ettadhamen area of Tunis. Related gatherings have occurred since January 15 in Tunis and Bizerte, Gafsa, Jilma, Kairouan, Kasserine, Siliana, and Sousse. Looting, vandalism and roadblocks have been reported, and police have used tear gas to disperse participants. The military has been deployed to several cities to guard key installations.
UGANDA
On January 25, a march is planned at 10:00 AM local time towards the residence of opposition leader Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu in Kampala’s Magere area. Participants are calling for an end to his house arrest, ahead of a ruling on the same day by the High Court on the politician’s detention. The march is intended to be peaceful, though it should be avoided due to the risk of local disruption and clashes between protesters and security forces.
ASIA & THE PACIFIC
LUNAR NEW YEAR
Travelers should follow all official directives regarding the annual Lunar New Year (Spring Festival) holiday period from February 11-17. Some local authorities have advised against domestic travel during this period, while others have imposed movement restrictions due to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Further restrictions may be issued at short notice in the coming weeks. Heightened demand for transport and traffic congestion should still be expected, particularly at the beginning and end of the holiday period. Those undertaking domestic travel between February 11 and 17 should make bookings well in advance and plan journeys accounting for potential short-notice restrictions and travel disruption.
AFGHANISTAN
On January 25, a car bomb hit two vehicles in the Parwan 2 Area of Kabul. One was an armored vehicle belonging to the Italian Embassy. No casualties were reported. On January 24, a magnetic car bomb attached to a government vehicle detonated in Shah Shahid. The intended target and the driver both sustained injuries, while a bodyguard was reportedly killed. No group has claimed responsibility for either attack, the latest in a string of incidents in Kabul in recent weeks.
AUSTRALIA
On January 26, travelers in urban centers, including Brisbane, Melbourne, Perth and Sydney, should plan journeys bypassing demonstrations on Australia Day, the country’s official national day. Gatherings will be held to demand greater recognition and rights for the indigenous community. The events are expected to be well attended and pass off peacefully. Associated travel disruption and heightened security measures should be anticipated amid COVID-19- related restrictions.
Travelers are advised to continue to follow all official directives and plan travel accounting for fire danger warnings related to ongoing bushfires. These are likely to continue until at least the end of February. Bushfires may occur at short notice and spread rapidly, causing significant travel disruption. Local authorities are liable to impose fire bans and issue evacuation orders in affected areas. Travelers should maintain flexible itineraries and be prepared to defer or change travel plans.
Through January 26, travelers in South Australia should plan journeys accounting for potential disruption during the passage of a tropical low. The weakened weather system is forecast to reach South Australia early on January 25. Heavy rain can be expected over the Flinders Ranges, south east of the North West Pastoral district, northern parts of Mid North and over parts of the northern agriculture area. Such conditions may trigger flash floods, particularly in low-lying and coastal areas. Flood Warnings previously issued for neighboring Western Australia have been lifted.
BANGLADESH
Travelers in the country in the coming weeks should avoid all gatherings related to the upcoming City Corporation Election in Chittagong and Municipal Elections in several divisions due to the risk of unrest. The City Corporation Elections in Chittagong will be held on January 27 between 8:00 AM and 4:00 PM local time. Separately, the third phase of the municipal elections will be held on January 30 across 64 municipalities within Chittagong, Dhaka, Khulna, Mymensingh, Rajshahi, Rangpur and Sylhet divisions. Voting will take place between 8:00 AM and 4:00 PM local time. The fourth and fifth phases of the Municipal Elections will respectively be held on February 14 and 28.
On January 25, travelers in Dhaka should avoid a protest by the opposition Left Democratic Alliance (LDA) outside the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (MOHFW). While the exact time of the event is unclear, such demonstrations are usually held in the afternoon. The LDA is demanding that free COVID-19 vaccines be provided to sugar mill workers. The protest is expected to be well attended and occur amid heightened security.
CHINA
Travelers in China, particularly northern, western and central areas, should plan journeys accounting for potential disruption during the ongoing winter season, which will last until March. Heavy snow, dense fog, and poor visibility may affect flight and train schedules at short notice, as well as impede road movement. Meanwhile, heavy smog, typically caused by pollution from increased coal use in winter, can result in poor visibility and related flight disruption. Adverse weather conditions can also interrupt power supply, particularly in smaller cities and rural areas.
Travelers are advised to defer non-essential travel to ‘medium’ and ‘high’ risk areas in Beijing, Langfang, Shijiazhuang and Xingtai following the imposition of local COVID-19-related restrictions. Authorities have announced that all personnel are prohibited from leaving Daxing district without related approvals, including a nucleic acid test result within 72 hours. Stay at home notices are in place until at least January 25 in Guan county and until further notice in Longyao and Nangong counties.
FIJI
Through January 29, travelers in Vanua Levu, Taveuni, Lau, Lomaiviti, and nearby islands should anticipate heavy rainfall and associated disruption due to a low-pressure weather system. The Fiji Meteorological Service (FMS) has issued a Heavy Rainfall Warning for the aforementioned locations and a Rainfall Alert for the rest of Fiji Islands group. The weather system is expected to develop into a tropical depression by January 28. Persistent heavy rain may cause flash flooding in low-lying areas of Vanua Levu and Viti Levu islands.
INDIA
Travelers should anticipate travel disruption and maintain flexible itineraries during the ongoing winter season which will last until February. Dense fog and poor visibility can cause significant disruption to flights, train services, and road journeys. Northern and eastern states such as Asom, Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Meghalaya, Punjab, Rajasthan, Sikkim, Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal, as well as the union territories of Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Chandigarh, and Delhi, typically experience the worst of the adverse winter conditions. Major cities such as Bangalore, Hyderabad and Chennai, may also be affected.
On January 26, travelers should expect heightened security and significant disruption in the National Capital Region (NCR), which includes New Delhi and parts of Haryana, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh states, during tractor rallies by farmers. The protests will coincide with Republic Day celebrations in New Delhi. The events will be held amid stringent security measures, and Delhi Traffic Police have issued an advisory for commuters. On January 20, the government proposed a 1.5-year suspension of the new farm laws. Farmers’ unions continue to demand a complete repeal of the farm laws.
INDONESIA
Through February 1, travelers should continue to minimize non-essential movement in South Kalimantan Province in the areas worst-affected by heavy rain and flooding. Significant floods have been reported throughout the province, including in Banjarmasin. Other badly-affected areas include parts of Balangan, Banjar, Barito Kuala, Hulu Sungai Selatan, Hulu Sungai Tengah, Tabalong and Tapin regencies, as well as Banjarbaru and Tanah Laut cities. More than 342,000 people have been affected and at least 113,400 have been displaced. Disruption to essential services, including telecommunications and power, remains possible in the affected areas.
Travelers should continue to plan journeys accounting for disruption during the ongoing monsoon season. This is expected to last until April across most of Indonesia and is likely to peak in January-February. Prolonged periods of heavy rainfall since mid-November 2020 have caused significant flooding and landslides in parts of Aceh, Banten, North Sulawesi, North Sumatra, West Java provinces, as well as Kalimantan. Travelers are advised to reconfirm the feasibility of journeys with local contacts before setting out, as further weather-related disruption is likely until the end of the season.
Local disruption is likely in Jakarta in the coming weeks during court hearings related to the December 2020 Local Elections. From January 26 through March, hearings will be held on more than 130 election-related disputes submitted to the Constitutional Court. Heightened security can be expected around the court building on hearing dates. Small protests by supporters of unsuccessful candidates are possible, though stringent COVID-19-related restrictions are liable to discourage any gatherings.
Travelers in urban centers in the coming weeks should anticipate and avoid protests related to a judicial review of the controversial Omnibus Law. Labor unions, led by the influential Indonesian Trade Union Confederation (KSPI), will hold demonstrations at the Constitutional Court in Jakarta when hearings are taking place. While recent protests have remained small, the KSPI plans to hold large gatherings when a verdict is delivered, likely in March. Similar gatherings may take place in other urban centers, such as Bandung, Bekasi, Batam, Medan, Semarang and Surabaya.
Travelers in Jakarta over the coming days should continue to monitor developments linked to the extended detention of Muhammad Rizieq Shihab (also known as Habib Rizieq). The latter is the leader of the outlawed hardline Islamic Defenders’ Front (FPI) organization. No associated protests have recently taken place, and unrest is unlikely in the coming weeks. This is due to COVID-19-related restrictions and the legal consequences arising from the group’s prohibition; however, continued tensions between the government and the FPI means there is a limited risk of potentially unruly, short-notice gatherings. Heightened security is therefore likely around possible venues.
Travelers in East Java province in the coming days should follow official directives amid increased volcanic activity at Mount Raung. On January 21, authorities established a 1.2-mile exclusion zone around the crater. Although there are no evacuation orders, the Volcanological Survey of Indonesia (PVMBG) has raised the alert level to ‘Level 2’ (secondlowest on a four-tier scale), meaning short-notice changes are possible. Travelers are advised to closely monitor the situation and maintain flexible itineraries as a precaution.
JAPAN
Travelers in Tokyo and neighboring Chiba, Kanagawa, and Saitama prefectures should follow all official directives amid a State of Emergency until February 7. As part of the measures, restaurants and bars are to close by 8:00 PM local time, and residents are requested to refrain from non-essential outings. Authorities have also urged companies to encourage 70% of their commuting staff to work from home. Additionally, the number of people at spectator events will be capped at 50% or a maximum of 5,000.
Beginning January 20, travelers should reconfirm itineraries and defer inbound journeys amid the latest COVID-19- related entry restrictions. Japan’s special business travel arrangements with Brunei, Cambodia, China, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, and Vietnam have been suspended; however, travelers with existing visas under these special arrangements (except those who have stayed in the UK or South Africa in the past 14 days) can enter Japan until 11:59 PM local time on January 20. Details can be found on the Ministry of Foreign Affairs website.
Travelers, particularly in north and northeastern regions, should continue to plan journeys accounting for disruption during the ongoing winter season, which will last until March. At least 63 people have been killed due to adverse weather conditions since early January. Short-notice travel disruption and/or interruptions in power supply, particularly in smaller cities and rural locations, remain possible. Poor road conditions due to heavy snowfall and low visibility will increase the risk of traffic accidents during the winter season.
MALAYSIA
Travelers should anticipate intermittent travel disruption and maintain flexible itineraries during Malaysia’s monsoon season, which usually lasts until March. Heavy rainfall, strong winds, flooding, and related landslides can be expected nationwide during this period. Most-affected areas include Johor, Kelantan, Pahang and Terengganu states on Peninsular Malaysia and Sabah and Sarawak states on Borneo Island. While flooding and associated disruption can be more protracted in rural areas, urban centers such as Kuala Lumpur or Johor Bahru (are not immune. Travelers are advised to reconfirm the feasibility of journeys before setting out.
Travelers should continue to defer travel to Malaysia amid the tightening of COVID-19-related restrictions. All states, except Sarawak, will be placed under a Movement Control Order from January 22 until February 4. Sarawak is currently under a Conditional Movement Control Order until January 31. Details regarding standard operating procedures can be found on the National Security Council’s website.
NEPAL
Through February 5, travelers in Nepal should continue to avoid demonstrations linked to the dissolution of the House of Representatives. The opposition Nepali Congress (NC) party will hold nationwide protests, including on January 16 in all municipalities and on January 21 in all ward levels. In addition, a faction of the ruling Nepal Communist Party (NCP), led by former Prime Minister Pushpa Kamal Dahal, has called for demonstrations through February 5, including in Kathmandu.
NEW CALEDONIA
Travelers in urban centers in the coming weeks should continue to anticipate further protests over the sale of a large nickel plant in Goro. Loyalists groups on January 17 issued a strong-worded statement calling for the government to intervene and stop roadblocks erected by protesters opposed to the sale. Meanwhile, government’s review of the sale process is expected to continue until at least February. Tensions are likely to persist during this period, and scuffles are possible between rival groups, as well as between demonstrators and police. Further short-notice gatherings are possible and should be avoided as a precaution.
NEW ZEALAND
Through February 1, passengers transiting Kapiti Coast Airport (PPQ), which serves Paraparaumu, should monitor developments and continue to reconfirm the status of flights despite the resumption of operations at the facility. The airport will operate at reduced hours until February 1 due to staff shortages. Details are unavailable, but operating hours may depend on the availability of specialist staff. Further intermittent closures are possible. The airport was closed on December 13 following security threats posted on social media.
PAKISTAN
Travelers are advised to plan journeys accounting for intermittent travel disruption during the ongoing winter season until February. Dense fog on January 19 has caused delays at Allama Iqbal International Airport (LHE) in Lahore. Sections of the following motorways have also been closed to traffic: M-11 between Lahore and Sialkot, M-1 between Peshawar and Islamabad, and M-2 between Islamabad and Lahore. Travelers should reconfirm the status of flights and routes before setting out.
Travelers are advised to avoid demonstrations in the coming weeks by the opposition Pakistan Democratic Movement (PDM) coalition due to the risk of unrest. These are expected across urban centers. The party is demanding the resignation of the ruling Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaaf (PTI) government by January 31. If demands are not met, PDM supporters plan to march to Islamabad. A related rally by PDM is planned on January 19 outside the Election Commission. Traffic disruption and local scuffles between protesters and police are possible during associated events.
Travelers should avoid protests planned by opposition parties in Karachi in the coming days against the government’s recent decision to approve official census figures collected in 2017. Opposition parties Jamaat-e-Islami (JI) and Pak Sarzameen Party (PSP) have announced a series of demonstrations for January. The parties are demanding a fresh census, alleging that the 2017 figures are flawed and do not reflect actual statistics in Karachi.
SAMOA
Travelers should plan journeys accounting for intermittent disruption during the ongoing rainy season until the end of April. Heavy rainfall, flooding, and related landslides can be expected in the country during this period, particularly in low-lying and coastal areas. Recently, heavy rain and significant flooding have resulted in road closures and travel disruption in Apia and other parts of the country. Travelers should reconfirm flight schedules and the status of routes before setting out.
THAILAND
Those in southern provinces should maintain flexible itineraries accounting for disruption during the southeastern monsoon period until at least March. Heavy rain has triggered flash floods and landslides, prompted road closures, and disrupted train services in the provinces of Nakhon Si Thammarat, Narathiwat, Pattani, Satun, Songkhla, Trang and Yala. If traveling during this period, reconfirm the feasibility of journeys before setting out.
On January 26, travelers in Bangkok should avoid a planned demonstration at 10:00 AM local time outside Government House. Participants are denouncing the government’s social security policies. A heightened police presence and local traffic disruption can be expected. Police may also forcibly disperse any unruly protesters, posing incidental risks to bystanders.
Through February, travelers to avoid any potentially unlawful activities, including those related to Section 112 of the Criminal Code, also referred to as the “lese-majeste law.” On January 19, high-profile anti-government activist Anchan Preelert was sentenced to 43 years in jail under the law for online activities deemed critical of the royal family. On January 16, scuffles broke out between police and protesters during an anti-government protest in Bangkok, followed by the arrest of several protesters. Further gatherings remain likely in the coming weeks, which should be avoided due to potential disruption and as a precaution against incidental risks.
VIETNAM
Travelers in Hanoi should anticipate heightened security measures and travel disruption ahead of the National Party Congress, scheduled to take place from January 25 to February 2. Authorities have increased security controls in border areas and at airports and deployed more than 6,000 security force personnel. Events are expected to be held at the Vietnam National Convention Centre. Short-notice traffic disruption in the vicinity of the venue is likely, particular from January 24 onwards, when traffic controls are implemented.
EUROPE
BREXIT
Travelers in the UK and EU member states should continue to reconfirm itineraries and abide by all official directives. New regulations came into effect following the UK’s withdrawal from the EU (Brexit) on December 31. The European Commission (EC) has recommended member states treat the UK as a third country under its travel restriction regulations, only permitting travel for essential reasons. Those arriving in England and Scotland now need to present a negative COVID-19 test result taken up to 72 hours prior to departure.
CYPRUS
Travelers should exercise caution in the coming hours after a magnitude 4.9 earthquake struck approximately one mile south of Pergamos at around 4:27 PM local time on January 21. According to the US Geological Survey, the tremor originated at a depth of 43 miles. No tsunami warning has been issued, and there are no immediate reports of damage. The earthquake was reportedly felt as far away as Lebanon, northern Syria, Turkey, and Israel.
FRANCE
Through January 31, travelers should abide by all official directives related to COVID-19. A nationwide night-time curfew will be in effect from 6:00 PM to 6:00 AM local time from January 16-31. A nationwide curfew is already in place from 8:00 PM to 6:00 AM local time with some departments exempted, where the curfew is effective from 6:00 PM local time. Travelers should also reconfirm journeys as France has introduced a requirement for a negative COVID-19 test for all inbound travelers from outside the EU.
Travelers in France in the coming weeks should anticipate and avoid further protests over a controversial national security law, due to the risk of local unrest. The largest demonstrations are usually held on Saturdays, although sporadic gatherings can take place on other days. Nationwide protests are planned for January 30, with the main rally to take place in Paris. Some 75 people were arrested during the most recent related and well-attended protests on January 16. While further such events are likely to pass off peacefully, clashes between security forces and protesters, including far-left activists, are possible.
GREECE
On January 25, travelers should plan journeys accounting for potential weather-related disruption. The Hellenic National Meteorological Service (HNMS) has issued Orange Warnings (second highest on a four-tier scale) for local severe thunderstorms, heavy rainfall and strong winds in the Western Central and Western Peloponnese regions, as well as on the Ionian Islands. Yellow Warnings (second lowest) have also been issued for local heavy rainfall, strong winds and snow, particularly in mountainous areas, in the western Macedonia, Epirus and Thessaly regions, as well as on the northeast Aegean Islands and the Dodecanese Islands.
NETHERLANDS
Travelers are advised to defer all travel to the Netherlands from January 23 due to the tightening of inbound travel restrictions in response to recent developments involving COVID-19. Effective from 12:01 AM local time on January 23, all flights from the UK, South Africa and South American countries will be banned. Incoming travelers from highrisk areas will be required to present a negative result of a rapid COVID-19 test taken no more than four hours prior to departure. Upon entering in the Netherlands, all travelers will need to complete a ten-day self-quarantine and still provide a negative result of a polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test performed no more than 72 hours prior to arrival.
Through January 29, travelers should avoid gatherings in protest of a nationwide COVID-19 curfew. On January 24, clashes broke out during protests against the nationwide COVID-19 curfew from 9:00 PM to 4:30 AM local time daily. Police used tear gas and water cannons to disperse protesters in Eindhoven and Amsterdam, respectively. In Urk, protesters set fire to a COVID-19 testing center, while in The Hague, demonstrators set fire to motorcycles. Disturbances were also reported in the cities of Enschede, Tilburg and Venlo, among others. More than 240 protesters were arrested.
POLAND
Travelers should anticipate further anti-government protests in urban centers in the coming days and avoid them due to the risk of unrest. Various civil society groups are calling for fresh protests to denounce perceived authoritarian government policies and a controversial court ruling restricting abortion rights. Nationwide gatherings were held on January 20. Clashes occurred near the Dmowski Roundabout in Warsaw, and security forces used tear gas to disperse crowds. Travelers should reconfirm the status of routes before setting out as previous demonstrations have attracted large turnouts, with participants blocking key roads.
ROMANIA
Throughout January, travelers in urban centers should plan journeys bypassing nationwide protests. Trade unions are calling for an improvement in working conditions for healthcare workers. They are also protesting against the government’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic and its decision to freeze public sector wages. Police personnel will carry out a set of industrial actions on January 11, 18 and 25. Most planned actions are unlikely to directly impact business operations. Nationwide demonstrations will be held outside local government offices between January 12 and 14, and a protest will take place on January 14 at Victory Square in Bucharest. While these gatherings are likely to pass off peacefully, they should be avoided as a precaution and to minimize disruption.
RUSSIA
Throughout January, travelers should anticipate and avoid further unauthorized anti-government demonstrations as a precaution. On January 23, major protests in urban centers were prompted by the January 17 arrest of opposition leader Alexei Navalny upon his return from Germany. Rallies demanding Navalny’s immediate release were held in 70 cities, including Moscow, and were attended by tens of thousands of people. Police used batons to disperse participants and local reports indicate more than 3,000 people were arrested. Navalny faces a hearing on February 2 over fraud charges.
UKRAINE
Travelers in Kyiv in the coming weeks should plan routes bypassing gatherings in solidarity with ongoing antigovernment protests in Belarus. Weekly marches have been held near the Belarusian Embassy since August; however, due to the nationwide lockdown in place until at least January 25, the supporters are staging ‘human chain’ demonstrations adhering to COVID-19 restrictions. These gatherings have so far taken place along Khreschatyk Street and at Independence Square. While most demonstrations have been peaceful, security forces on August 10 dispersed protesters after the latter burned flares. A heightened police presence should be anticipated in the area, and instances of local unrest are also possible.
UNITED KINGDOM
Transmission of COVID-19 continues to surge in some regions. There is limited acute care bed availability, and hospitals are either near or at capacity. Different levels of local restrictions on movement and gatherings are in place across the country. Health authorities have implemented protocols for isolation, quarantine, testing and managing people who have COVID-19 and their contacts. Follow all directives. To prevent infection, limit face-to-face interactions with other people as much as possible, pay attention to hygiene, wash hands frequently, avoid touching your face. Wear a mask whenever required to and consider wearing a mask whenever in public. Do not travel if you are sick.
WEATHER-RELATED DISRUPTION
Travelers On January 25, travelers should continue to anticipate weather-related disruption. The Met Office has issued Yellow Warnings (lowest on a three-tier scale) for snow and ice across much of England (including London), Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales. Disruption to public transportation, electricity and road travel is possible in affected areas. This follows the passage of Storm Christoph, which brought heavy rain and snow to much of England on January 20-21, resulting in hazardous road conditions and significant flooding in multiple locations.
ENGLAND
Travelers in England in the coming weeks should abide by all official directives amid the implementation of new restrictions related to the COVID-19 pandemic. A new national lockdown will take effect from 12:01 AM local time on January 5 until at least February 15. Only essential movements will be authorized and must be strictly limited.
On January 30-31, travelers should plan rail journeys to or from London accounting for disruption due to scheduled engineering works. All tracks will be closed at London’s King’s Cross station to accommodate upgrade work at the facility. Passengers on affected routes may need to make multiple transfers or use rail replacement services to reach their destinations. Alternative modes of transportation, including busses, may experience significant delays due to increased demand.
BREXIT
Travelers in the UK should monitor developments and abide by all government guidelines related to the country’s withdrawal from the EU. Following the end of the transition period on December 31, new entry and exit restrictions came into effect from January 1, 2021. These changes are expected to increase border-crossing delays due to stricter document-checking procedures and will impact the requirements of EU citizens relocating in the UK. Travelers in the EU should remain apprised of wider policy adjustments, including changes to mobile phone services and travel insurance policies, as well as access to the National Health Service (NHS).
NEW COVID-19 TESTING REQUIREMENTS
The UK Government has confirmed that beginning at 4:00 AM GMT on January 15, 2021, all inbound passengers traveling to England will be required to present a negative COVID-19 test, taken up to 72 hours prior to departure. Passengers will be subject to an immediate fine of £500 if they fail to comply with the new regulations on predeparture testing. This includes UK citizens and those transiting a UK airport. A limited number of exceptions, including children under the age of 11 and haulers, are set out on the gov.uk website. Travelers arriving in England from the Common Travel Area (the United Kingdom, Ireland, Isle of Man, Jersey, and Guernsey) will also be exempt.
All passengers arriving from countries not on the government’s travel corridor list will still be required to self-isolate for 10 days, regardless of test result. Passengers will still be required to fill out a passenger locator form and be subject to national lockdown restrictions.
NEW COVID-19 ENTRY RESTRICTIONS
Travelers should reconfirm itineraries following the announcement of new COVID-19-related entry restrictions, effective at 4:00 AM local time on January 15. Inbound travelers who have visited or transited through the following countries in the past ten days will be barred entry to the UK: Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, Chile, Cape Verde, Colombia, Ecuador, French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Panama, Portugal, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, and Venezuela. This does not apply to British and Irish Nationals or UK residents, who will be permitted entry but must self-isolate for ten days upon arrival. A flight ban will also be in place for Argentina, Brazil, Cape Verde, and Portugal.
